Applying GM(1,1) Model to Trend Prediction for Culture-innovative Fashion Colors in Tones Based on JCC40 matrix system

Jeng-Jong Lin; Hung-Yi Tsai; Chih -Feng Ke; Che-Jen Chuang

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Applying GM(1,1) Model to Trend Prediction for Culture-innovative Fashion Colors in Tones Based on JCC40 matrix system

Jeng-Jong Lin ✉ Dept. Of Tourism and Leisure Management, Vanung University
Hung-Yi Tsai Dept. Of Tourism and Leisure Management, Vanung University
Chih -Feng Ke Dept. Of Tourism and Leisure Management, Vanung University
Che-Jen Chuang Dept. Of Tourism and Leisure Management, Vanung University

Abstract

The aim of this paper is developing a quantitative model based on gray theory for predicting the trend of tones for culture-innovative fashion colors by using JCC40 matrix color system. Through the time series composed of the summation of the color suggestion ratios nominated by international forecasting facilities such as INTERCOLOR, JAFCA, …etc. for the past few years, the GM(1,1) model has been applied to induce a predicting equation for the trend of the tone of each color. The results show the predicted trends for color tones are rather in consistence to the real ones as expected. Through the help of the predicted trend results in color tones, the efficiency of culture-innovative creation for the designer in culture-innovative industry can be improved.

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Issue: Vol. 23 No. 5 (2016)
Section: Original Research Articles
Pages: 261-266
Submitted: 2016-06-14
Published: 2016-06-14
ID: JHGT-16-228
Views: 2
Downloads: 0

引用 How to cite

Lin, J. J., Tsai, H. Y., Ke, C. F., & Chuang, C. J. (2016). Applying GM(1,1) Model to Trend Prediction for Culture-innovative Fashion Colors in Tones Based on JCC40 matrix system. Journal of the Hwa Gang Textile, 23(5), 261-266. https://www.jhgt.org.tw/article/view/205

@article{lin2016_205,
  author  = {Lin, Jeng-Jong and Tsai, Hung-Yi and Ke, Chih -Feng and Chuang, Che-Jen},
  title   = {Applying GM(1,1) Model to Trend Prediction for Culture-innovative Fashion Colors in Tones Based on JCC40 matrix system},
  journal = {Journal of the Hwa Gang Textile},
  year    = {2016},
  volume  = {23},
  number  = {5},
  pages   = {261--266},
  issn    = {1025-9678},
  url     = {https://www.jhgt.org.tw/article/view/205}
}

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Lin, Jeng-Jong
AU  - Tsai, Hung-Yi
AU  - Ke, Chih -Feng
AU  - Chuang, Che-Jen
TI  - Applying GM(1,1) Model to Trend Prediction for Culture-innovative Fashion Colors in Tones Based on JCC40 matrix system
JO  - Journal of the Hwa Gang Textile
T2  - 華岡紡織期刊
VL  - 23
IS  - 5
PY  - 2016
SP  - 261
EP  - 266
KW  - GM(1
KW  - 1) Model
KW  - Gray theory
KW  - time series
KW  - color suggestion ratios
KW  - culture-innovative fashion colors
SN  - 1025-9678
UR  - https://www.jhgt.org.tw/article/view/205
AB  - The aim of this paper is developing a quantitative model based on gray theory for predicting the trend of tones for culture-innovative fashion colors by using JCC40 matrix color system. Through the time series composed of the summation of the color suggestion ratios nominated by international forecasting facilities such as INTERCOLOR, JAFCA, …etc. for the past few years, the GM(1,1) model has been applied to induce a predicting equation for the trend of the tone of each color. The results show the predicted trends for color tones are rather in consistence to the real ones as expected. Through the help of the predicted trend results in color tones, the efficiency of culture-innovative creation for the designer in culture-innovative industry can be improved.
ER  -

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